Publications

Scientific Communications

Check out our most recent scientific communications below:

1. Grover EN. 2024. Weather impacts COVID-19 transmission primarily via mechanisms other than changes to human mobility. PLOS Kudos.
2. Lund AJ. 2022. Genomics can help us better understand and address threats to schistosomiasis control. BugBitten.

Preprints

Get an early preview of some of our upcoming papers.

1. Grover EN, Hill A, Kasarskis I, Wu EJ, Alden N, Cronquist AB, Weisbeck K, Herlihy R, Carlton EJ. Identifying real-time surveillance indicators that can be used to estimate COVID-19 hospital admissions. medRxiv. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/
2. Quandelacy TM, Kasarskis I, Wu E, Carlton EJ. 2023. Rocky Mountain West COVID-19 Modeling: A descriptive assessment of the current public health needs during the COVID-19 pandemic to endemic transition. Research Square. https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-3246371/v1.

Recent publications

A full list of publications is available in PubMed​.

1. DeVoss R, Carlton EJ, Jolley SE, Perraillon MC. Healthcare utilization patterns before and after a long COVID diagnosis: a case-control study. BMC Public Health. 2025;25(514). doi: 10.1186/s12889-025-21393-4.
2. Somé AF, Somé A, Sougué E, ..., Wu EJ, ..., Foy BD, Parikh S, Dabiré RK. Safety and efficacy of repeat ivermectin mass drug administrations for malaria control (RIMDAMAL II): a phase 3, double-blind, placebo-controlled, cluster-randomised, parallel-group trial. Lancet Infect Dis, 2025. doi: 10.1016/S1473-3099(24)00751-5.
3. Grover EN, Buchwald AG, Ghosh D, Carlton EJ. Does behavior mediate the effect of weather on SARS-CoV-2 transmission? Evidence from cell-phone data. PLOS One. 2024;19(6): e0305323. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305323. An earlier version of this manuscript was posted as a preprint: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.03.26.24304854v1. This article was also recently featured in PLOS Kudos and the CU Newsroom.
4. Grover EN, Crooks JL, Carlton EJ, Paull SH, Allshouse WB, Jervis RH, James KA. Investigating the relationship between extreme weather and cryptosporidiosis and giardiasis in Colorado: A multi-decade study using distributed-lag nonlinear models. Int J Hyg Environ Health. 2024;260:114403. doi: 10.1016/j.ijheh.2024.114403. An earlier version of this manuscript was posted as a preprint: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2023.08.31.23294911v2
5. Johnson DR, Ghosh D, Wagner BD, Carlton EJ. Did COVID-19 ICU patient mortality risk increase as Colorado hospitals filled? A retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open. 2024;14(5):e079022. Epub 20240509.
6. Carlton EJ. Invited Perspective: Climate Changes the Effectiveness of Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene Interventions. Environ Health Perspect. 2024 Apr 11;132(4):041301. doi: 10.1289/EHP14771.
7. Grover EN, Allshouse WB, Lund AJ, Liu Y, Paull SH, James KA, Crooks JL, Carlton EJ.  Open-source environmental data as an alternative to snail surveys to assess schistosomiasis risk in areas approaching elimination. Int J Health Geogr. 2023 Jun 2;22(1):12. doi: 10.1186/s12942-023-00331-w. PMID: 37268933; PMCID: PMC10236814.
8. Kirsch K, Nagel C, Iribagiza C, Ecklu J, Zawadi GA, Ntabaza PM, Barstow C, Lund AJ, Harper J, Carlton E, Javernick-Will A, Linden K, Thomas E. Study design and baseline to evaluate water service provision among peri-urban communities in Kasai Oriental, Democratic Republic of the Congo. PLoS One. 2023 Apr 13;18(4):e0283019. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283019. PMID: 37053145; PMCID: PMC10101432.
9. Weaver AK, Head JR, Gould CF, Carlton EJ, Remais JV. 2022.  Environmental factors influencing covid-19 incidence and severity. Annual review of public health 43:271-291.
10. Buchwald, A. G., Thomas, E., Karnauskas, K. B., Grover, E., Kotloff, K., & Carlton, E. J. (2022).  The Association between Rainfall, Temperature and Reported Drinking Water Source: A Multi-Country Analysis. GeoHealth, 6, e2022GH000605. doi: 10.1029/2022GH000605.
11. Lund AJ, Wade KJ, Nikolakis ZL, Ivey KN, Perry BW, Pike HNC, Paull SH, Liu Y, Castoe TA, Pollock DD, Carlton EJ. Integrating genomic and epidemiologic data to accelerate progress toward schistosomiasis elimination. Elife. 2022 Aug 30;11:e79320. doi: 10.7554/eLife.79320. PMID: 36040013; PMCID: PMC9427098.
12. Grover E, Paull S, Kechris K, Buchwald A, James K, Liu Y, Carlton EJ. Predictors of bovine Schistosoma japonicum infection in rural Sichuan, China. Int J Parasitol. 2022 Jul;52(8):485-496. doi: 10.1016/j.ijpara.2022.04.002. Epub 2022 May 26. PMID: 35644269; PMCID: PMC9250636.
13. Nikolakis ZL, Carlton EJ, Pollock DD, Castoe TA. A genomic can of worms for schistosome host-specificity. Trends Parasitol. 2022 Jul;38(7):496-497. doi: 10.1016/j.pt.2022.04.005. Epub 2022 May 1. PMID: 35504822; PMCID: PMC9450497.
14. Nikolakis ZL, Adams RH, Wade KJ, Lund AJ*, Carlton EJ, Castoe TA, Pollock DD. 2020. Prospects for genomic surveillance for selection in schistosome parasites. Frontiers in Epidemiology. 2. https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fepid.2022.932021/full.
    
15. Bianchin G, Dall'Anese E, Poveda JI, Jacobson D, Carlton EJ, Buchwald AG. Novel use of online optimization in a mathematical model of COVID-19 to guide the relaxation of pandemic mitigation measures. Sci Rep. 2022 Mar 18;12(1):4731. doi: 10.1038/s41598-022-08389-5. PMID: 35304511; PMCID: PMC8932375. An earlier version of this method was posted as a preprint. https://arxiv.org/abs/2109.06025.
16. Freeman EA*, Carlton EJ, Paull S, Dadzie S, Buchwald A*. 2022. Utilizing citizen science to model the distribution of Aedes aegypti in West Africa. J Vector Ecol. 47(1):117-27. PubMed. Preprint.
    
17. Gallichotte EN, Quicke KM, Sexton NR, Fitzmeyer E, Young MC, Janich AJ, Dobos K, Pabilonia KL, Gahm G, Carlton EJ, Ebel GD, Ehrhart N. Early Adoption of Longitudinal Surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 among Staff in Long-Term Care Facilities: Prevalence, Virologic and Sequence Analysis. Microbiol Spectr. 2021 Dec 22;9(3):e0100321. doi: 10.1128/Spectrum.01003-21. An earlier version of this manuscript was posted as a preprint in Summer 2020.  https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.06.08.20125989v2.
18. Buchwald AG, Bayham J, Adams J, Bortz D, Colborn K, Zarella O, et al. Estimating the impact of statewide policies to reduce spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 in real time, Colorado, USA. Emerg Infect Dis. 2021 Sep; 27(9). doi:10.3201/eid2709.204167
19. Shortt JA, Timm LE, Hales NR, Nikolakis ZL, Schield DR, Perry BW, Liu Y, Zhong B, Castoe TA, Carlton EJ, Pollock DD. 2021.  Population genomic analyses of schistosome parasites highlight critical challenges facing end-game elimination efforts. Sci Rep 11:6884.
20. Buchwald AG, Grover E, Van Dyke J, Kechris K, Lu D, Liu Y, Zhong B, Carlton EJ.  Human Mobility Associated with Risk of Schistosoma japonicum Infection in Sichuan, China. Am J Epidemiol. 2021 Jul 1;190(7):1243-1252. doi: 10.1093/aje/kwaa292. PMID: 33438003; PMCID: PMC8245870.
21. Nikolakis ZL, Hales NR, Perry BW, Schield DR, Timm LE, Liu Y, Zhong B, Kechris KJ, Carlton EJ, Pollock DD, Castoe TA. Patterns of relatedness and genetic diversity inferred from whole genome sequencing of archival blood fluke miracidia (Schistosoma japonicum). PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2021 Jan 6;15(1):e0009020. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0009020. PMID: 33406094; PMCID: PMC7815185.
22. Buchwald AG, Adams J, Bortz DM, Carlton EJ. Infectious Disease Transmission Models to Predict, Evaluate, and Improve Understanding of COVID-19 Trajectory and Interventions. Ann Am Thorac Soc. 2020 Oct;17(10):1204-1206. doi: 10.1513/AnnalsATS.202005-501PS. PMID: 32610024; PMCID: PMC7640630.
23. Buchwald AG, Hayden MH, Dadzie SK, Paull SH, Carlton EJ. 2020. Aedes-borne disease outbreaks in West Africa: A call for enhanced surveillance​. Acta Tropica.
    

Greatest hits

Below are some of our favorite papers from our group. They include some of our hardest efforts, some of our big wins, some that were years in the making, and many made possible by great students, trainees and collaborators.

1. Hess JJ, Ranadive N, Boyer C, Aleksandrowicz L, Anenberg SC, Aunan K. et al. 2020. Guidelines for modeling and reporting health effects of climate change mitigation actions. Environ Health Perspect 128:115001.
2. Carlton EJ, Khan A, Remais JV. 2021. Co-benefits of Climate Mitigation. In: Global Climate Change and Human Health: From Science to Practice, Second Edition.
3. Carlton EJ, Barton K, Shrestha PM, Humphrey J, Newman LS, Adgate JL, Root E, Miller S. 2019. Relationship between home ventilation rates and respiratory health in the Colorado Home Energy Efficiency and Respiratory Health (CHEER) study. Environmental Research 169:297-302.
4. Levy K, Smith SM, Carlton EJ. 2018. Climate change impacts on waterborne diseases: moving toward designing interventions​​. Curr Environ Health Rep 5:272-282.
5. Shortt JA, Card DC, Schield DR, Liu Y, Zhong B, Castoe TA, Carlton EJ, Pollock DD. 2017.  Whole Genome Amplification and Reduced-Representation Genome Sequencing of Schistosoma japonicum Miracidia. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 11:e0005292.​
6. Carlton EJ, Woster AP, DeWitt P, Goldstein RS, Levy K. 2016.  A systematic review and meta-analysis of ambient temperature and diarrheal diseases​. Int. J. Epidemiol 45(1): 117-130. ​​
7. Levy K, Woster AP, Goldstein RS, Carlton EJ. 2016.  Untangling the impacts of climate change on waterborne diseases: A systematic review of relationships between diarrheal diseases and temperature, rainfall, flooding, and drought. Environ Sci Technol 50(10): 4905-4922.
8. Eisenhauer IF, Hoover CM, Remais JV, Monaghan A, Celada M, Carlton EJ. 2016. Short Report:  Estimating risk of domestic water source contamination following precipitation events​. Am J Trop Med Hyg. 94(6): 1403-1406. 
9. Eisenhauer IF, Celada M, Carlton EJ. 2016.  In search of safe and sufficient water: a portrait of household wells in rural Guatemala​. Int J Epidemiol. 0(0): 1-6.
10. Carlton EJ, Liu Y, Zhong B, Hubbard A, Spear RC. 2015.  Associations between schistosomiasis and the use of human waste as an agricultural fertilizer in China. PLoS Negl Trop Dis 9(1): e0003444.
11. Carlton EJ, Eisenberg JN, Goldstick J, Cevallos W, Trostle J, Levy K. 2014.  Heavy Rainfall Events and Diarrhea Incidence: The Role of Social and Environmental Factors. Am J Epidemiol 179: 344-352. 
12. Hodges M, Belle JH, Carlton EJ, Liang S, Li H, Luo W, Freeman MC, Liu Y, Gao Y, Hess JJ, Remais JV. 2014.  Delays reducing waterborne and water-related infectious diseases in China under climate change. Nature Clim Change 4: 1109-1115.
13. Carlton EJ, Hubbard A, Wang S, Spear RC. 2013.  Repeated Schistosoma japonicum infection following treatment in two cohorts: evidence for host susceptibility to helminthiasis? PLoS Negl Trop Dis 7: e2098.
14. Gong P, Liang S, Carlton EJ, Jiang Q, Wu J,Wang L, Remais JV. 2012.  Urbanisation and health in China. Lancet 379:843-852.